PRESIDENT PREDICTIONS - 2008
FINAL FINAL
DATE Nov 5 6PM Nov 5 6PM 7-Nov 7-Nov Nov 18 Nov 18 Nov 28 Nov 28 Jan 18 Jan 18
% for Obama 52.60% 52.60%     52.47     52.47 52.56 52.56 52.85 52.85 52.92 52.92
% for McCain 46.43% 46.43%     46.21     46.21 46.14 46.14 45.81 45.81 45.67 45.67
% for a others 0.97% 0.97%       1.32       1.32 1.3 1.3 1.38 1.38 1.41 1.41
      PREDICTION
OBAMA MCCAIN % MISS PLACE % MISS PLACE % MISS PLACE % MISS PLACE % MISS PLACE
PREDICTOR % %
Carman, Nolie       54.54       44.44 3.93 10 3.84 10        3.68 10 3.12 10 2.85 10
Coates, Andrew       47.50       49.30 7.97 12 8.06 12        8.22 12 8.78 13 9.05 13
Cummings, Deb       55.00       38.00 10.83 14 10.74 14      10.58 14 10.02 14 9.75 14
Hammerstrom, Dick       53.80       45.30 2.33 8 2.24 8        2.08 8 1.52 7 1.25 6
Hazlewood, Andrew       44.90       45.08 9.05 13 8.7 13        8.72 13 8.64 12 8.61 12
Henning, Jim       51.88       46.38 0.67 2 0.76 3        0.92 4 1.48 5 1.75 7
Huckaba, Bill       53.00       45.00 1.83 6 1.74 5        1.58 5 1.02 4 0.75 3
Moore, Tim       53.21       46.38 0.56 1 0.91 4        0.89 3 0.97 3 1.00 4
Scholl, Bob       53.24       44.78 2.29 7 2.2 7        2.04 7 1.48 5 1.21 5
Slagle, Emily       51.00       49.00 4.17 11 4.26 11        4.42 11 4.98 11 5.25 11
Slagle, Jerry       51.80       47.30 1.67 5 1.76 6        1.92 6 2.48 9 2.75 9
Slagle, Jim W.        52.50       44.00 2.33 8 2.24 8        2.20 9 2.12 8 2.09 8
Slagle, John       52.51       45.65 0.69 3 0.6 1        0.54 2 0.46 1 0.43 1
Slagle, Nelson       53.00       46.10 0.73 4 0.64 2        0.48 1 0.48 2 0.51 2
JOHN SLAGLE DECLARED WINNER OF PRESIDENTIAL PREDICTIONS
     Two and a half months after the Presidential election on November 4, 2008 I am finally comfortable in declaring an official
prediction winner.  The votes just kept coming in.  Part of the problem was that I was using one web site then found another with
more votes shown thus went with that site since the middle of November.  However, there were 289,987 votes cast between
November 28 and December 3rd then another 1,615,452 were cast from Dec 3rd to Dec 18th.  Only 14 votes have been
recorded since Dec 18th and none since Dec 27th.  I wonder how long it took to count all of the votes before all of the 
technology we now have?  Must have been years!
     Jim Henning led the morning after the election, but by that evening Tim Moore had grabbed the lead as noted above (Nov 5).
Two days later on November 7th, John Slagle had taken the lead.  By November 18th Nelson Slagle had grabbed the lead
as noted above.  By November 28, John grabbed back the lead and retained it as the votes finally stopped coming in.
      Bill Huckaba and Nelson Slagle came closest on Obama, as both missed by .08%.  John Slagle was closest on McCain
missing by .02 and closest overall with a .43% miss.  Nelson was 2nd with a .51 miss and Bill 3rd with a .75 miss.
Bill was 6th on Nov 5th and steadily moved up until the votes dried up.  
     Previous write-ups below.  
JOHN SLAGLE WINS PRESIDENTIAL PREDICTS (I THINK)
     I found a new vote counter site and it has 5M more votes than prior site - John has slim .02 lead with more votes being found!!
NELSON WINS PRESIDENTIAL PREDICTS (I THINK)
       The % of votes for Obama and McCain haven't changed in the last 10 days even though 193,000 votes
were added to their tallies.  Thus, for now at least Nelson edged brother John by .06 to win the predictions although
he didn't grab the lead until three days after the election. Nelson was the fourth leader in the predicts.
       John edged brother Jim .05 to .06 on predicting Obama's % the closest.  Each had predicted the actual %
perfectly at one point 2-3 days after the election!  Nelson edged Jim Henning and Tim Moore .04 to .24 in predicting
McCain's % the closest.  Tim and Jim both predicted 46.38% for McCain.  They too had a perfect prediction
at one point 1-2 days after the election!
     In 2004 Randy Land and Bob Thomas had identical predicts and missed the final tally by .11.  
NELSON AND JOHN TIED - 4 LEADERS IN 3 DAYS!
      Early Friday morning the presidential votes have left John and Nelson Slagle tied for first
place, both with a .54% miss.  Stay tuned - with 4 leaders in 3 days who knows what the
remaining votes will show!!
WINNER OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS CHANGES DAILY
     On Wed morning Jim Henning was in the lead, on Wed evening Tim Moore was in the lead and currently
John Slagle has grabbed the lead by .04 over Nelson Slagle.  Stayed tuned as the final votes are tallied (not 
to determine a President winner but to determine our Prediction contest winner!).
     Currently Jim Slagle is off on Obama by .01% and his brother Jim is .02% off.  Leading McCain is
the 3rd brother Nelson who is currently off by .11 to .17% by Tim Moore and Jim Henning.
JIM HENNING LIKELY WINNER OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS
     Jim Henning is the likely winner of the presidential election predictions.  According to the latest results
I have seen Jim missed the % of Obama and McCain's national votes by .45 % to .88% for John 
Slagles as four predictors were within 1% of the final percentages.  However, the results will change as
I haven't been able to find the final vote tally.  If anyone sees the final vote for all of the candidates let me
know by sending me a link.  The closest stats I saw a few moments ago are in Column B and Others is my guess!
       You can find rounded % (as in Col B) but I would like the exact count to date and than I can
compute a %  to 2 decimal points to determine a winner.   I suspect the count will keep changing the 
next few days.  
Slag 11-5-08