2009 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS                                      2009 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS
NC DH AH MJ AM LM BS BSc GS JeS MS JoS NS AS  KS
1- BEST PICTURE - 12 POINTS 1- BEST PICTURE - 12 POINTS
A- The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button X X A- The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
B- Frost/Nixon B- Frost/Nixon
C- Milk C- Milk
D- The Reader D- The Reader
E- Slumdog Millionaire 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 E- Slumdog Millionaire
2- BEST ACTOR - 10 POINTS 2- BEST ACTOR - 10 POINTS
A- Richard Jenkins, The Visitor A- Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
B- Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon B- Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
C- Sean Penn, Milk 10 10 10 10 10 10 C- Sean Penn, Milk
D- Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button X X   D- Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
E- Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler X X X X X X X E- Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
   
3- BEST ACTRESS - 10 POINTS 3- BEST ACTRESS - 10 POINTS
  A- Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married X   A- Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
B-  Angelina Jolie, Changeling B-  Angelina Jolie, Changeling
C- Melissa Leo, Frozen River C- Melissa Leo, Frozen River
D- Meryl Streep, Doubt X X X   D- Meryl Streep, Doubt
E- Kate Winslet, The Reader 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 E- Kate Winslet, The Reader
4- SUPPORTING ACTOR - 7 POINTS 4- SUPPORTING ACTOR - 7 POINTS
A- Josh Brolin, Milk A- Josh Brolin, Milk
B- Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 B- Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
C- Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder C- Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
D- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt X D- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
E- Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road E- Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road
5- SUPPORTING ACTRESS - 7 POINTS 5- SUPPORTING ACTRESS - 7 POINTS
A- Amy Adams, Doubt X A- Amy Adams, Doubt
B- Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 B- Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
C-  Viola Davis, Doubt X X X   C-  Viola Davis, Doubt
D-  Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button X X X   D-  Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
E-  Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler   E-  Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
NC DH AH MJ AM LM BS BSc GS JeS MS JoS NS AS  KS
6- BEST DIRECTOR - 7 POINTS   6- BEST DIRECTOR - 7 POINTS
A-  Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 A-  Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
B- David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button X X   B- David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
C- Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon X   C- Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
D- Stephen Daldry, The Reader   D- Stephen Daldry, The Reader
E- Gus Van Sant, Milk E- Gus Van Sant, Milk
 
7- BEST SOUND (SOUND MIXING) - 3 POINTS   7- BEST SOUND (SOUND MIXING) - 3 POINTS
A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button   A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
B- The Dark Knight X X X X X X B- The Dark Knight
C- Slumdog Millionaire 3 3 3 3 3 3 C- Slumdog Millionaire
D- WALL-E X   X D- WALL-E
E- Wanted X E- Wanted
 
8- COSTUME DESIGN - 3 POINTS 8- COSTUME DESIGN - 3 POINTS
A- Australia X A- Australia
B- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button X X X B- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
C- The Duchess 3 3 3 3   3 3 3 3 3 3 3 C- The Duchess
D-  Milk D-  Milk
E- Revolutionary Road   E- Revolutionary Road
 
9- BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - 3 POINTS 9- BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - 3 POINTS
A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
B- The Dark Knight X X X X B- The Dark Knight
C- Iron Man C- Iron Man
10- CINEMATOGRAPHY - 3 POINTS 10- CINEMATOGRAPHY - 3 POINTS
A- Changeling X A- Changeling
B- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button X   B- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
C- The Dark Knight X C- The Dark Knight
D- The Reader D- The Reader
E- Slumdog Millionaire 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 E- Slumdog Millionaire
NC DH AH MJ AM LM BS BSc GS JeS MS JoS NS AS  KS
11- ORIGINAL SCORE - 3 POINTS 11- ORIGINAL SCORE - 3 POINTS
A-  The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Alexander Desplat X X A-  The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Alexander Desplat
B- Defiance, James Newton Howard B- Defiance, James Newton Howard
C- Milk, Danny Elfman C- Milk, Danny Elfman
D- Slumdog Millionaire, A.R. Rahman 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 D- Slumdog Millionaire, A.R. Rahman
E- WALL-E, Thomas Newman E- WALL-E, Thomas Newman
12- SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED) - 3 POINTS. 12- SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED) - 3 POINTS.
A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Eric Roth X X A- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Eric Roth
B- Doubt, John Patrick Shanley B- Doubt, John Patrick Shanley
C- Frost/Nixon, Peter Morgan X X C- Frost/Nixon, Peter Morgan
D- The Reader, David Hare D- The Reader, David Hare
E- Slumdog Millionaire, Simon Beaufoy 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 E- Slumdog Millionaire, Simon Beaufoy
13- SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL) - 3 POINTS 13- SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL) - 3 POINTS
A- Frozen River, Courtney Hunt X   A- Frozen River, Courtney Hunt
B- Happy-Go-Lucky, Mike Leigh X B- Happy-Go-Lucky, Mike Leigh
C- In Bruges, Martin McDonagh X X C- In Bruges, Martin McDonagh
D- Milk, Dustin Lance Black 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 D- Milk, Dustin Lance Black
E- WALL-E, Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter X E- WALL-E, Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter
14- ANIMATED FILM - 3 POINTS 14- ANIMATED FILM - 3 POINTS
A- Bolt A- Bolt
B- Kung Fu Panda X X   B- Kung Fu Panda
C- WALL-E 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 C- WALL-E
         
NC DH AH MJ AM LM BS BSc GS JeS MS JoS NS AS  KS
Total Score 47 38 64 28 52 26 54 58 41 64 74 74 67 77 61 Total Score
Final Place 11 13 6 14 10 15 9 8 12 5 3 2 4 1 7 Final Place
TIE BREAKER - predict # of Oscars below movies will win:   TIE BREAKER - predict # of Oscars below movies will win:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Won 3 4 6 4 7 2 5 3 4 2 3 1 3 2 5 3 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button -
13 nominations     13 nominations 
2ND TIE BREAKER 2ND TIE BREAKER
Slumdog Millionaire - 10 nominations  Won 8  3 5 9 4 6 1 5 5 8 7 5 6 7 7 5 Slumdog Millionaire - 10 nominations 
Deadline:  Submit by February 20, 2008 (Academy Awards on Feb 22)
                                           AMY STOCKARD WINS 2009 ACADEMY AWARD PREDICTIONS WITH PERFECT PREDICTION
     Amy Stockard correctly predicted all 14 categories to win her first Oscar predictions after finishing in the top 4 in four of the last
five years.  John Slagle and Melissa Slagle both missed Best Sound Mixing to finish 2nd and 3rd.  Amy and Nelson both picked the first 
12 categories correct and Amy won when Sean Penn won best actor.  Nelson picked Mickey Rourke.
    Amy was the first predictor to pick all 14 categories correct since John Slagle in 2005.   Amy broke the streak of 8 straight wins by a 
Slagle although Slagles finished in positions 2nd through 5th.
   Bonnie Shaffstall, Jerry Slagle, John Slagle and Kristin Stoub all correctly picked The Curious Case of Benjamin Button to win
3 Oscars.  Gale Slagle was the only predictor to pick 8 Oscars for Slumdog Millionaire.   Thirteen of our 15 predictors correctly picked
Slumdog Millionaire to win Best Picture.  The firsts 7 predictors each picked at least 12 of the 14 categories correctly.
      Best Actor and Best Sound Mixing winners were only picked by 6 winners, making the  toughest categories.  All other categories 
were picked by at least 8 predictors.   Heath Ledger won Best Supporting actor as 14 of 15 correctly picked.
     Of the 21 predictors that have predicted at least 3 years the top five based on average placing are:  John Slagle 1- 2.38,
Nelson Slagle 2- 4.20, Jerry Slagle 3- 4.80, Amy Stockard 4- 5.78 and Kristin Stoub 5- 6.70.  See complete results at bottom right.
                        KRISTIN STOUB EDGES SCOTT VAN CAMP TO WIN 2008 ACADEMY AWARD PREDICTIONS
     Kristin Stoub edged Scott Van Camp 54 to 52 to win her 2nd Academy Awards Predictions in three years.  Scott led when
Marion Cotillard won best actress award but Kristin won three more 3 point categories finally passing Scott on Original Score.
Only 6 points separated the top seven finishers.  Going into Best Picture, only Virginia Hazlewood had a chance to catch
Kristin but needed a win by There Will Be Blood.  Rounding out the top five were Amy Stockard 3- 51, Melissa Slagle 4- 48 and
Jerry Slagle 5- 48 as noted above on 'Final Place' line.  Kristin and John Slagle have now won the last six contests.  This is
Amy Stockard's 3rd 2nd or 3rd place finish in the last 5 years.
     Melissa Slagle, Amy Stockard, Andrew Hazlewood and Dick Hammerstrom correctly picked the first tie breaker as No
Country for Old Men won 4 Oscars.  Kristin Stoub, Melissa Slagle and Jerry Slagle correctly picked There Will Be Blood for 2
Oscars.  
     Eight favorites won in the 14 categories.  No one picked Tilda Swinson to win Best Actress.  Only Virginia Hazlewood and
Scott Van Camp picked Marion Cotillard to win Best Supporting Actress.  Only Mike Juarez picked Bourne Ultimatum to win
Best Sound Mixing.  Only Virginia Hazlewood and Dick Hammerstrom picked Golden Compass to  win Best Visual Effects. 
Only Amy Stockard and Kristin Stoub picked There Will Be Blood to win Best Cinematography.   The only category to be
picked correctly by all 12 predictors was Daniel Day-Lewis for Best Actor.
     Twelve was the fewest predictors ever tying  the mark set in 2000, the first year of the Oscar Predictions
     Of the 21 predictors that have predicted at least 3 years the top five based on average placing are:  John Slagle 1- 2.43,
Nelson Slagle 2- 3.75, Jerry Slagle 3- 4.13, Amy Stockard 4- 5.86 and Kristin Stoub 5- 6.38.  See complete results at bottom right.
                     JOHN SLAGLE WINS 2007 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTION ON 2ND TIE BREAKER, HIS 4TH WIN IN 5 YEARS
     John Slagle and Nelson Slagle had the same predicts through the first tie breaker, thus the contest came down to whether Babel would win one or
two oscars.  Going into Best Picture, John, Nelson and Tammy Slagle had a chance to win.  Tammy wins if The Queen is Best Picture, Nelson
wins if Babel is Best Picture and John wins if any of the other three films won.  This was the 2nd straight contest to be settled by the 2nd tie
breaker and the fourth time in five years that a tiebreaker determined the winner and also the 4th time in the last 5 years that John has won.  I
have been running basketball and football predicts for 40 years and probably another 70 or 80 prediction contests and no one has ever won 4
contests in 5 years.  
     This is the 7th straight contest won by a Slagle and the top 3 finishers were Slagles.  Top five were:  John 64, Nelson 64, Melissa Slagle 61,
Andrew Hazlewood 61 and Jerry Slagle 61.  The top 9 finishers all had the same predictions for the six major (1st 6 categories listed) categories. 
All 15 predictors missed Best Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine).  Only Randy Lang and Tammy Slagle picked Happy Feet to win
the Animated Feature.   Only Virginia and Andrew Hazlewood correctly picked the Cinematography winner.  Key category was Costume Design
which John and Nelson were the only contenders to get correct  (Marie Antoinette).
      The winning score of 64 was the lowest score to win since 2003 when we had fewer categories.   John picked 5 of 6 major categories and 6 of 8
minor categories correct.  Melissa and Randy were the only predictors to correctly guess 2 on number of Oscars Dreamgirls would win. Six
correctly picked one Oscar for Babel.
      The top five predictors that have predicted at least 6 of the 8 years are:  (Avg place in parenthesis)  1- John Slagle (1.83), 2- Nelson Slagle (4.00), C183
3- Jerry Slagle (4.75), 4- Amy Stockard (6.86) and 5- Luis Melo (7.25).
     KRISTEN STOUB DEFEATED MELISSA SLAGLE ON THE 2ND TIE BREAKER TO WIN 2006 ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS
     Kristin Stoub and Melissa Slagle had identical predictions including the first tie breaker.  Their only difference was on the 2nd tiebreaker.  Kristin was
perfect on the 2nd tie breaker thus won the 2006 Academy Award predicts.  Kristen broke John Slagle's three year streak of winning the Academy
Award Predicts.  This is the 6th straight year a Slagle family  member won the predicts.  John still added to his record getting the first 5 categories
announced to run his fantastic streak to 29 straight categories predicted correctly over 3 years.   Breaking the streak was sound mixing which Kristin
correctly picked King Kong while John picked Walk the Line.  That was their only difference on the 14 Oscar categories.  Six of the top 7 predictors
were Slagles.  This the 3rd straight year that a tie breaker was needed to determine the winner.  
     Broadback Mountain won 3 Oscars tying for the most.  This is the first time in 60 years that the leader only had 3 Oscars. Andrew Hazelwood was 
the only predictor to correctly predict 3 Oscars for Broadback Mountain.  Kristen, Nelson and Jerry Slagle correctly picked 1 Oscar for Walk the Line.  
     Congrats to Kristin for winning and John for winning 3 straight Academy Award predictions and picking 29 straight categories correctly over three years.  
     The leading predictors that have predicted at least 3 years are: John Slagle (averages 2nd place),  Nelson Slagle averaging 4.3 place, Jerry Slagle 
averaging 4.7 place, Amy Stockard averaging 6.8 place and Luis Melo averaging 8.3 places.
          JOHN SLAGLE GOES 14 FOR 14 TO WIN THE ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS FOR THE 3RD STRAIGHT YEAR
      John Slagle predicted all 14 categories to finish with 77 points and beat Melissa Slagle by 12 points.  Amazingly, after picking the first 13
categories correctly, he still needed to get best picture correct to win the predicts.  Amy Stockard would have won if Aviator won best picture.  
The top 5 predictors were:  John Slagle 77, Melissa Slagle 65, Nikki Barber 61, Scott Van Camp 60 and Virginia Gaeta & Cindy Van Camp 58.
John Slagle has won three years in a row.  Last year John picked 12 of 14 categories correctly.  John has now picked 23 straight categories correctly.
                      JOHN SLAGLE REPEATS AS ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTION WINNER ON TIEBREAKER IN 2004
John Slagle, Amy Stockard and Jerry Slagle all tied with 71 points in the Academy Awards Predictions.  John won the tie breaker with 9
predicted Academy Award Oscars for Lord of the Ring (it won 11 of 11 nominations!).  All three predictors set an all time scoring record
(that may never be broken) and predicted 12 of 14 categories correctly. John also was closest on the tie breaker as both he and Nikki
Barber guessed 9, and closest on the 2nd tie breaker as he correctly guessed 0 for Seabiscuit Oscars tying with Luis Melo.  Thus John
made a complete sweep of the 2004 predicts.   Nelson predicted a record 13 of 14 categories correctly, but missed one of the major
categories (Best Actor) and finished 8th (might be a protest filed regarding the scoring for each category!!).  John, Amy and Jerry predicted
all six major categories correctly, but missed two minor categories.
      We have predicted 14 categories for the last 3 years and the record number of points was by Nelson in 2002 with 51 and the record
categories correctly predicted was 9 each of the last two years by Nelson and John.  Both scoring records were obliterated in 2004.  
      John is the leading predictor who has predicted at least 3 years, finishing 4th, 1st and 1st.  Of the 5 year predictors, Nelson leads 
totaling 17 places,  followed by Jerry Slagle totaling 24 places and Luis Melo totaling 43 places.  
      Trophy presentation and Academy Award pictures will be available in a few days.  
                                     JOHN SLAGLE WINS 2003 OSCAR PREDICTS ON TIE BREAKER
      John Slagle and Nelson Slagle both finished with 46 points but John won the tie breaker by guessing 6 
Oscars for Chicago.  Tammy Slagle finished 3rd for the 2nd straight year.  John and Nelson were tied
for the lead all night long until Pianist won for Best Director to move Tammy into the lead.  John and Nelson
won on Best Picture, Chicago as Tammy had Pianist. John and Nelson had the same picks on 12 of 14
categories.
                                                               RESULTS FOR 2000 THROUGH 2008
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20- 20- 20-   CUM STATS
09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 Yrs Total Avg Cum
PREDICTORS PL PL PL PL PL PL PL PL PL PL Pred Places Place PL**
Nikki Barber 12 12 2 24 12.00 Nikki Barber
Anne Marie Benson 5 5 2 10 5.00 Anne Marie Benson
NC Nolie Carman 11 1 11 11.00 Nolie Carman
VH Virginia Gaeta Hazlewood 8 6 10 21 21 5 66 13.20 16 Virginia Gaeta Hazlewood
DH Dick Hammerstrom 13 11 12 12 15 15 7 2 8 9 95 10.56 11 Dick Hammerstrom
AH Andrew Hazelwood 6 10 4 9 5 5 18 17 3 5 10 82 8.20 7 Andrew Hazelwood
Phil Hensley 10 16 9 9 16 14 4 12 8 90 11.25 14 Phil Hensley
MJ Mike Juarez 14 9 13 11 16 16 10 10 7 3 10 109 10.90 13 Mike Juarez
Randy Lang 14 14 2 28 14.00 Randy Lang
Randy Lang's 4 daughters 13 1 13 13.00 Randy Lang's 4 daughters
Al Manzey 10 23 23 17 18 12 6 103 17.17 19 Al Manzey
Luis Melo 15 8 7 7 15 11 9 1 8 73 9.13 9 Luis Melo
Cindy Nichols 13 13 8 3 34 11.33 15 Cindy Nichols
Stephanie Poff 20 20 2 40 20.00 Stephanie Poff
Christina Rich 19 19 2 38 19.00 Christina Rich  
Jeff Robinette 26 26 8 11 4 71 17.75 20 Jeff Robinette
BSc Bob Scholl 8 9 18 18 14 15 6 82 13.67 17 Bob Scholl
BS Bonnie Shaffstall 9 12 15 24 24 5 84 16.80 18 Bonnie Shaffstall
Gale Slagle 12 15 22 22 4 71 17.75 20 Gale Slagle
JeS Jerry Slagle 5 5 5 6 3 3 4 6 2 9 10 48 4.80 3 Jerry Slagle
JoS John Slagle 2 6 1 3 1 1 1 4 8 19 2.38 1 John Slagle
NS Nelson Slagle 4 6 2 5 8 8 2 1 1 5 10 42 4.20 2 Nelson Slagle
Tammy Slagle 11 7 14 14 3 3 13 10 8 75 9.38 10 Tammy Slagle
Jon Stapp 10 10 9 3 29 9.67 12 Jon Stapp
KS Kristen Stoub 7 1 8 1 4 4 9 16 6 11 10 67 6.70 5 Kristen Stoub
AS Amy Stockard 1 3 7 4 2 2 12 5 16 9 52 5.78 4 Amy Stockard
Janet Ungaro 25 25 2 50 25.00 Janet Ungaro
MS Melissa Ungaro Slagle 3 4 3 2 17 17 5 12 8 63 7.88 6 Melissa Ungaro Slagle
SV Scott VanCamp 2 11 11 11 13 10 2 7 60 8.57 8 Scott Van Camp
Andy Corn 6 1 6 6.00 Andy Corn
Andrew Coates 19 1 19 19.00 Andrew Coates
Mary Juarez 14   1 14 14.00 Mary Juarez
Mickey Hazelwood 15 1 15 15.00 Mickey Hazelwood
Tina Nguyen 7 1 7 7.00 Tina Nguyen
Jim Slagle 5 1 5 5.00 Jim Slagle
Wayne Geiser 13 1 13 13.00 Wayne Geiser
**    Need to have predicted 3 years to qualify for cum ranking